California First National Stock Performance

CFNB Stock  USD 27.78  0.02  0.07%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, California First holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.082, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning California First are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, California First is likely to outperform the market. Please check California First's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether California First's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in California First National are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat inconsistent basic indicators, California First sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow37 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities19.3 M
  

California First Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,225  in California First National on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  553.00  from holding California First National or generate 24.85% return on investment over 90 days. California First National is currently generating 0.3848% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.3998% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of otc stocks are less volatile than California, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days California First is expected to generate 3.24 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

California First Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of California OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.78 90 days 27.78 
about 8.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of California First to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.36 (This California First National probability density function shows the probability of California OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days California First National has a beta of -0.082 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding California First are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, California First National is likely to outperform the market. Additionally California First National has an alpha of 0.3545, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   California First Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for California First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as California First National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3627.7830.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0526.4728.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.4027.8230.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.6327.6228.61
Details

California First Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. California First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the California First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold California First National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of California First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
2.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

California First Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of California First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for California First National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (12.66 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.75 M).
About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

California First Fundamentals Growth

California OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of California First, and California First fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on California OTC Stock performance.

About California First Performance

By analyzing California First's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into California First's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if California First has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if California First has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
California First Leasing Corporation provides loans and lease financing for universities, businesses, and other commercial or non-profit organizations. California First Leasing Corporation was founded in 1977 and is based in Newport Beach, California. California First operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about California First National performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about California First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for California First National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (12.66 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.75 M).
About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating California First's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate California First's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing California First's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether California First's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining California First's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating California First's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of California First's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of California First's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into California First's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating California First's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact California First's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for California OTC Stock analysis

When running California First's price analysis, check to measure California First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy California First is operating at the current time. Most of California First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of California First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move California First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of California First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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